Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $47.69
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Polymarket Trader
marana0447
0x76deea43f70227fe9d745dc737fe0b6e3e068945
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167
- Realized PnL
- $2.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $50.72
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $47.97
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $34.04
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$32.99
No position
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $18.67
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cubs position
Brewers vs. Cubs
Ends Aug 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.96
Athletics position
Tigers vs. Athletics
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.82
Guardians position
Royals vs. Guardians
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.88
No position
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2025-12-04?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507
Brewers position
Brewers vs. Nationals
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.56
No position
Will BIG qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99% 7.23 shares
- Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2025-12-04?No 48% 975 shares
- Royals vs. GuardiansGuardians 52% 1,113 shares
- Yankees vs. AstrosAstros 48% 1,156 shares
- Brewers vs. CubsCubs 48% 1,248 shares
- ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. LeheckaLehecka 43% 1,402 shares