No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $499.5
- Potential payout
- $502.51
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
p9pswvrfQ
0x76e42159099c3f14f796a519c2e007317644d2bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $889.3
- Realized PnL
- $2.74
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200.2
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $189.9
- Potential payout
- $190.38
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- -$0.1
House position
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.71
- Potential profit
- $7.71
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Saints position
Saints vs. Panthers
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will the unemployment rate for February be less than or equal to 3.9%?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No change position
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Hilton Worldwide (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16m?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bill Belichick be the next Giants Head Coach?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Silver call all 50 states correctly?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 60°F or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Belichick head coach the Falcons in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will a Republican win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 99.8% 190.38 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.5% 502.51 shares
- Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.9% 200.2 shares
- Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99.8% 266.26 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.6% 201.2 shares
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 89.26 shares
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 89.27 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.7% 200.6 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.6% 200 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.7% 200.6 shares
- Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99.9% 266.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 225.03 shares