Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $287.69
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$970.49
Polymarket Trader
mmdstrike
0x76ebfce2d287cf3b922ac55d1375a831980aa216
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $287.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.76K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$22.52
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.73
- Potential profit
- $246.73
- User PnL
- -$7.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.56
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.02
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.78
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$31.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 75.9% 182 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 69.1% 12.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 64.3% 1,654.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 35.8% 189.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 72% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 87.3% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 71% 335 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 66% 150 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 66% 185 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 24% 1,700 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.2% 500 shares