Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$990
Polymarket Trader
Twilightwraithy
0x76f16bd5a68dc1b1db3fb1a8abbcf9abc2531cfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.97
- Realized PnL
- $72.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 90% 20 shares
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over 49% 2,020.41 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.2% 1,338.98 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 1,338.98 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 87% 190.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 63% 190.48 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 73% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes 40% 30.08 shares