Polymarket Trader

0x76FEb79E367Ac7FBeC360000c1b9Aa0E7057FA66-1773577095253

0x76feb79e367ac7fbec360000c1b9aa0e7057fa66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.3K
Realized PnL: -$111.24
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $326.61
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $9.01K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$72.37

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $134.57
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.59K
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$40.48

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $672.07
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$174.92

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $168.71
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$62.99

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.55
Potential profit: $113.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.2
Potential profit: $9.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $3.76
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Ceasefire position

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.4%
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran strike Turkey in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$115

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.9% 435.9 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 28% 11.26 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 29% 4.34 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Yes 42% 16.66 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 39% 15.24 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.5% 5,922 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 600.14 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 5.4% 1,835.11 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.8% 1,079.89 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 113.55 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.9% 777.06 shares