Polymarket Trader

ustanak

0x77085f6921c4205a91ac0abfd28ac33932326dcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.63
Realized PnL: $14.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8.5

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

US strikes Nigeria by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

No 87.2% 17.2 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 85% 17.65 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

No 17% 50 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 12.82 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?

No 97% 15.46 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 94% 5 shares
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

No 95% 10.53 shares
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Yes 97% 10.31 shares
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Yes 86% 10 shares
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Yes 78% 10 shares