Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Polymarket Trader
0x770D2e8e52Dcd5488aca7F715E5E48Dbe9B8567a-1772760628031
0x770d2e8e52dcd5488aca7f715e5e48dbe9b8567a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.7
- Realized PnL
- $141.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$6.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.8
N
No position
Will Lucasfilm announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.35
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4
Y
Yes position
Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
Ends Jul 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.3%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.76
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lucasfilm announce a new project at SDCC 2026?No 60% 10 shares
- Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?Yes 74% 10 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes 32% 12 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 98.5% 47 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 98.5% 41 shares
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No 52% 5 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 79% 14 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 80.8% 26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 93% 35 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 37% 13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No 49% 5 shares