No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.99K
- Potential profit
- $40.99K
- User PnL
- -$275.78
Polymarket Trader
👑_King_George_👑
0x770e06c9e8d0c14065f7c0b8ac0e0ecd50287640
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $14.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.61K
- Potential profit
- $32.61K
- User PnL
- -$764.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $21K
- User PnL
- -$206.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$180.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$119
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $51.23
- Potential payout
- $4.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$399.87
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$32.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$72.55
Yes position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$63.99
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$148.05
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$172.62
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$43.1
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $577.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $522.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $199.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$217.07
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $969
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$6
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $922.43
- Potential profit
- $913.67
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$109.98
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $129
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $471
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $586.38
- Potential profit
- $564.1
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$15.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.98
- Potential payout
- $505
- Potential profit
- $457.03
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$18.37
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $177.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $107.26
- Potential payout
- $498.88
- Potential profit
- $391.62
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $17.46
Yes position
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $449.33
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.91
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $765.18
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.69
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $616.97
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.53
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $421.7
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $375.74
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.58
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.07
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $239.77
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.81
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $192
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.55
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.45
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.97
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 29.8% 26.2 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 48.7% 36 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 37% 300 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 18% 498.88 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 6.7% 499.99 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 6.6% 65 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 11.3% 1,084.94 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 15% 216.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 23% 180 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.1% 253.27 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 23% 506.54 shares