Polymarket Trader

ilovemarco0415

0x770e59ed4b8ec49b97f410cd0e2283cdf849a3f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.22K
Realized PnL: $1.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.28
Potential profit: $835.28
User PnL: -$575.98

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $773.45
Potential profit: $773.45
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $607.42
Potential profit: $607.42
User PnL: -$443.42

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $138.92
Potential payout: $567
Potential profit: $428.09
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$246.65

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $353.92
Potential payout: $509.31
Potential profit: $155.39
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$23.08

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $372.14
Potential payout: $386.85
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352
Potential profit: $352
User PnL: -$249.92

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $268.07
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $64.94
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $48.28

No position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $217.07
Potential payout: $266.38
Potential profit: $49.31
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $208.68
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $13.32
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$126

No position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $165.32
Potential payout: $178.72
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $128.67
Potential payout: $159.83
Potential profit: $31.17
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $17.67

Yes position

Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $101.77
Potential payout: $143.34
Potential profit: $41.57
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $14.41

No position

Will Genoa win on 2025-11-03?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.03
Potential profit: $130.03
User PnL: -$46.81

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $74.55
Potential payout: $129.65
Potential profit: $55.1
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$100

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $114.91
Potential payout: $117.08
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.91

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.36
Potential profit: $106.36
User PnL: -$46.8

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.7
Potential profit: $103.7
User PnL: -$76.74

Yes position

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.99
Potential profit: $95.99
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.81
Potential profit: $91.81
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $76.88
Potential payout: $88.88
Potential profit: $12
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.77

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.78

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.18

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.1

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.83

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.55

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.84

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.78

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.37

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.84

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.96

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.7

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Over 81% 169.1 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 74% 137.7 shares
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60.9% 143.34 shares
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.1% 11.03 shares
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 77.3 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 56.4% 391.28 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

No 82.3% 274.07 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 129.65 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 66% 333 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 80% 444 shares
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 567 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 94% 222 shares