No position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Polymarket Trader
softcastle
0x770ee3a1d4c6839ac52bcb7f838c0e83c86ab559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.25K
- Realized PnL
- -$227.32
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$892.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.69
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.64
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.06
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.33
Spain position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.12
England position
Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
NVIDIA largest company before June 15?
Ends Jun 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Solana hit $300 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.04
No position
Microsoft largest company on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.38
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$330.88
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$594.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No 47.5% 12.55 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No 47.5% 2,234.21 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No 40.7% 14.53 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No 40.7% 2,176.52 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.5% 7 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.7% 1,036.29 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No 86% 595.17 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 84.6% 674.76 shares
- US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?No 99.8% 201.8 shares
- Will Solana hit $300 in December?Yes 0.5% 1,051.69 shares
- Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?England 56% 95 shares
- Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?Spain 53% 96 shares