No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $237.27
- Potential payout
- $862.81
- Potential profit
- $625.54
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Polymarket Trader
superted1
0x771a5f585342792205ea8c3a5688eb6f476d6be6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.27
- Realized PnL
- -$0.06
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 21% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 22.2% 189.28 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 1,027.93 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 30 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 10 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 10 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 10 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 14% 10 shares