No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $962.8
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $250.56
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $34.58
Polymarket Trader
0x7724...51f2
0x7724b36eb126553415f4ff85f50e57e078b151f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.82K
- Realized PnL
- $862.23
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $825.28
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $184.24
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $33.74
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $128.42
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$32.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 73.6% 1,072.14 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 76.5% 1,213.36 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 59% 1,672.74 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 61% 1,672.74 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 96% 1,398.09 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 73% 39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83.3% 2,587.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 83% 406.23 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 79% 940.75 shares