Polymarket Trader

kingt

0x772ce1c5c8cf25e685c67af96905cdeffe8f804a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $555.25
Realized PnL: $7.35K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $55.38
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $156.11
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$43.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $25.93
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $53.47
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.3
Potential profit: $305.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.67
Potential profit: $294.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $289.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $234.06
Potential payout: $248.07
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $34.06

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $18.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $163.73
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $90.9
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.12
Potential profit: $73.12
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $12.21
Potential payout: $55.49
Potential profit: $43.29
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.61
Potential profit: $52.61
User PnL: -$9.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.36
Potential profit: $45.36
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.91
Potential profit: $35.91
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.69

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.21

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.74

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Is $DJT real?

Ends Jun 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.36

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Furman Paladins position

Spread: Clemson (-41.5)

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

No position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Under position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Biden closes eyes for 3+ seconds during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Shkreli escrow $100m?

Ends Jun 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.74

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 1,388.89 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5

Over 25% 20 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Under 28% 35.71 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Under 55% 36.36 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 3,819.3 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 250,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.1% 1,327.03 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 442.34 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99% 589.79 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 2,343.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 57.1% 2,359.16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 53% 1,572.77 shares