Polymarket Trader

HeyVaro

@heyvaro

0x7734f02ae405576e0d3eeb59164d8c5f617c4193

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.06K
Realized PnL: $4.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $253.6
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: -$546.4

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $253.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $546.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $114.98
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $935.03
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $974.6
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $45.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $754.8
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $2

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $664.67
Potential payout: $700.02
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $140.53

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $129.15
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $570.85
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $93.45
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $606.55
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $82.95
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $617.05
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $111
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $126
Potential payout: $145.67
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.47

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $91.35
Potential payout: $100.38
Potential profit: $9.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.76
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Marin Cilic position

HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.57
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.93

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: $427.7

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $387.5

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.78

Yes position

Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $272.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

Yes position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.5

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.03

Yes position

Will "Jungle" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.85

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Will Elon Musk unfollow Grimes by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.42

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.14

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.14

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.19

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.52

Yes position

Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.9

No position

Will Trump launch a coin by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.68

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 645.76 shares
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 645.76 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 56.67 shares
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

No 85% 500 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 24.3% 2,601.54 shares
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Yes 94.7% 67.57 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 80% 6.02 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 102.92 shares
Nottingham Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Leylah Fernandez

Leylah Fernandez 57% 50 shares
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya

Elina Svitolina 67% 50 shares
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin

Viktorija Golubic 60% 50 shares