No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.45
- Potential profit
- $460.45
- User PnL
- -$264.05
Polymarket Trader
RushToBed
@nijingshuai
0x77407ddb1413a14f6ab47dc2c2f2c9c7fa1a6439
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19K
- Realized PnL
- $292.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.73
- Potential profit
- $258.73
- User PnL
- -$186
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $225.76
- Potential profit
- $223.84
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$187.08
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $195.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $197.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $195.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $197.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $174.44
- Potential profit
- $155.34
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $35.39
- Potential payout
- $169.72
- Potential profit
- $134.34
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $13.39
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $33.92
- Potential payout
- $147.8
- Potential profit
- $113.88
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $107.1
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $32.9
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.49
- Potential profit
- $113.49
- User PnL
- -$80
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.51
- Potential profit
- $108.51
- User PnL
- -$67.09
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $100.78
- Potential profit
- $90.45
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$35.5
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.33
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or higher on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 72.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 68.03 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 50.51 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 50% 20 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 62% 32.26 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 86% 34.88 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.8% 100 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 100 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 200 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 200 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 200 shares