Polymarket Trader

chungguskhan

@tenad0me

0x7744bfd749a70020d16a1fcbac1d064761c9999e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $220.33K
Realized PnL: $1.69M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $199.71K
Potential payout: $242.07K
Potential profit: $42.36K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $79.34K

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $20K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $39.96K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: -$2.84K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $275.57
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$741.59

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$505.11

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $329.17
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$304.79

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$494.59

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $954.42
Potential profit: $954.42
User PnL: -$34.25

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $17.07
Potential payout: $23.23
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $15.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.9K

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $138.15K

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.27K

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.51K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.91K

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.83K

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.53K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.87K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.5K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.2K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.58K

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.11K

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.17K

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25K

Thunder position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43K

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.47K

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.37K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.79K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.19K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $36.62K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25K

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.81K

No position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.13K

Arizona Wildcats position

Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 81% 137.27 shares
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

LNG Esports 46% 44,739.4 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 70% 2,762.64 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.7% 20,790.51 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.3% 54,209.49 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.4% 83,563.75 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 89% 2,902.56 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 78% 31,458.17 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 34% 27,975.69 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 56% 1,113.76 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 2% 1,010 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 94% 4,652.92 shares