Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $977.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Polymarket Trader
groppone
0x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $395.87
- Realized PnL
- $821.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $38.95
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $371.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$17.65
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $368
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $291.45
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$12.45
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $287.55
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$13.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $290.7
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $262.53
- Potential profit
- $257.67
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $44.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $155.1
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- $36.9
Yes position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.3
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $14.28
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185.72
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.4
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $151.2
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $48.05
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $106.95
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $16.91
- Potential payout
- $140.92
- Potential profit
- $124.01
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.65
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.05
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.55
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$15.55
Yes position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $83.32
- Potential profit
- $72.49
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $30.12
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $54.08
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.28
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.47
Yes position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.24
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.79
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.75
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.75
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $25.4
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $22.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.72
Yes position
Will Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.59
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $17.37
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 45% 100 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 0.2% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 30% 10 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.4% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No 99.5% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 67.3% 20 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 69.3% 30 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No 65.3% 130 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 50.4% 100 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 87% 20 shares