Polymarket Trader

mrtn17

0x77538ac07b190de1289b09f99bf6edfeece330b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.83
Realized PnL: $393.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $132.21
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.55
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $98.54
Potential payout: $98.59
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $28.54

Over position

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.5
Potential profit: $76.5
User PnL: -$53.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $53.93
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$41.08

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $24.04
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.21
Potential profit: $28.21
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $24.86
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $49.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $34.57

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Yes position

Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.96

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.84

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

No position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

No position

Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over 86% 6.5 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

No 99.9% 20.4 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

No 49% 20.41 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 397.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 71% 98.59 shares
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 72% 135.32 shares
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 23% 180 shares
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 35% 240 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 8.4% 130 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 56.5% 101.7 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 72.8% 10 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 84.5% 40 shares