Polymarket Trader

ElongatedMushroom

0x77581b2adb6387555ea71d10bb1323eb5e087125

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $542.5
Realized PnL: $13.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$433.33

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $957.5
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $4.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 1PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100.51

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523
Potential profit: $523
User PnL: -$82.48

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $99.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $400.75
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$150.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $400.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $150.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$37.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$17.48

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$60.12

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $159
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.95
Potential profit: $81.95
User PnL: -$15.32

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $938.99

Yes position

Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $457.51

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $450

No position

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.13

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $356.58

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.81

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $335.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $318.59

No position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $307.8

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $242.35

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $225

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.53

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.47

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.83

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.42

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Down 15% 30.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 16.2% 684 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 62.4% 1,111.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 28.2% 419.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 25.3% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 24.8% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 0.2% 1,830.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 0.9% 366.26 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?

No 6.6% 400 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 1% 217 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 1% 471.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Up 1% 1,000 shares