Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $28.71
- Potential payout
- $332.35
- Potential profit
- $303.63
- Multiplier
- 11.57x
- User PnL
- -$14.72
Polymarket Trader
CallMeCarpe
0x77581c8b26acb199f83a7eb384efe102f6c98ae9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.71
- Realized PnL
- $1.43
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Trump cabinet member out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will courts block Trump's tariffs before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
North Korea missile test before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.1% 332.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp 54% 1.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp 85% 1.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp 32% 1.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp 74% 1.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 75% 1.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown 77% 12.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown 77% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown 77% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown 82% 6.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown 74% 6.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp 82% 6.1 shares