Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $25.64
- Potential payout
- $269.9
- Potential profit
- $244.26
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$16.35
Polymarket Trader
Olma
0x77618840605a965ec8b6092afa5e829e1a75f504
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.14
- Realized PnL
- $1.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $23.23
- Potential payout
- $172.09
- Potential profit
- $148.86
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$18.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $97.2
- Potential profit
- $96.96
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $83.52
- Potential profit
- $76.42
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $81.43
- Potential profit
- $81.35
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $71.8
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $68.17
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.98
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $65.08
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $65.11
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $65.9
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $63.44
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $60.89
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $54.04
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $37.7
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $48.23
- Potential profit
- $42.18
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $44.53
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.42
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $42.08
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $14.08
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $29.92
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $43.58
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $41.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.82
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.2
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.26
Yes position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.54
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.16
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.95
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.03
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.7
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.44
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.6
76ers position
Magic vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.03
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.08
Baltimore Orioles position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 85% 2 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 21?No 56% 3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 20% 9 shares
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes 78% 2 shares
- Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Marie BouzkovaMarie Bouzkova 53% 3 shares
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over 59% 3 shares
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine 43% 4 shares
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes 62% 3.05 shares
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming 50% 3.12 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?No 14% 14 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?Yes 76% 2 shares
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies 63% 3 shares