Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Polymarket Trader
defigarson
@defigarson
0x777e93df230dacc694717bb0c9699f286dd1d384
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $224.08
- Realized PnL
- $767.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$38.5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $57.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $342.2
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.6
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $34.26
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $135.75
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $40.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59.6
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $88.83
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $37.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $43.12
- Potential profit
- $34.71
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.45
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.96
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Yes position
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.73
Yes position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.99
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.77
Yes position
Will Johannes Kaiser come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 400 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 23% 40 shares
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 29% 40 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 3.7% 50 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 23% 40 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 31% 30 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.4% 200 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 500 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 30 shares