No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $51.24
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.89
Polymarket Trader
0x7793...2fc0
0x77939b4068990be5f5ec8dbb098ea82d928c2fc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $64.07
- Realized PnL
- -$3.41
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $29.28
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.2% 9 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 91% 5 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 6.3% 20 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 42.8% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 50.6% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 49.7% 9 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 41.8% 12 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 15 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 16 shares