Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $240.3
- Potential profit
- $228.76
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Polymarket Trader
Expander
@BristolHubert
0x7799efc1cc7247517ed17b1a42a7bbd38b8fad20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.8
- Realized PnL
- $2.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.45
- Potential profit
- $114.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $32.82
- Potential profit
- $28.55
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.33
Yes position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.11
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.52
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.68
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.17
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.58
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.83
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.77
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.41
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.92
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.87
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.41
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.52
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.82
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.53
Yes position
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
Yes position
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Yes position
Biden helped off stage at the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.59
No position
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.2% 240.3 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes 19% 21.05 shares
- Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?Yes 2.6% 114.45 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes 42% 13.61 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?No 66% 6.91 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes 62% 13.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?Yes 0.1% 8,695.19 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?Yes 0.3% 2,055.44 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?No 84% 6.84 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?Yes 0.3% 5,138.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 26% 60 shares