No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $100.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $86.31
Polymarket Trader
iamnotsure
0x77a1470786ac3e48f1525e596d47dd62a9f8fec1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $1.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$300
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$200
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.12
- Potential profit
- $242.12
- User PnL
- -$60.53
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $165.42
- Potential payout
- $172.05
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.08
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $121.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.05
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.29
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $25.62
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.11
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71.2% 280.97 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.6% 515.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 14% 595.73 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 515.46 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 60% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 71% 805.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 33.6% 595.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 141.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 246.91 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 16.3% 1,068.23 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs 72% 277.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 659.34 shares