Polymarket Trader

0x77a5...fccd

0x77a592d0380669b42d440b0e04eb365960b8fccd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $12.53
Realized PnL: $429.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $163.42
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $13.12
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 38.1% 13.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 3% 166.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 98.5% 5.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 9.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 97.6% 5.15 shares