Polymarket Trader

naitsabes

0x77b7d6de8f9f7174ea90047403a12396c80d883e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.34
Realized PnL: -$6.3
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $202
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.74
Potential profit: $44.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $31.54
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.36

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $10.72
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Yes 64% 31.25 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 16.9% 5.92 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Yes 7% 3.44 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Yes 18% 11.11 shares