No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.59
- Potential profit
- $78.59
- User PnL
- -$62.2
Polymarket Trader
stray23
0x77b8b0cfef6c4a9ae7178b61942d6e78dfb3868e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.9
- Realized PnL
- $16.85
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Yes 55% 12 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 67.1% 4 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 67.9% 5 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77.5% 9 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 76.3% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No 90% 7.7 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 78% 10 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 72.1% 9.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81% 49.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 29.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 24.18 shares