No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $37.74K
- Potential payout
- $37.87K
- Potential profit
- $132.56
- User PnL
- $629.25
Polymarket Trader
TronOG
0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.26K
- Realized PnL
- $25.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $22.35K
- Potential payout
- $22.54K
- Potential profit
- $191.61
- User PnL
- $676.81
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $19K
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.77K
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $634.21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $247.34
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $569.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $170.02
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.38K
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $40.65
- User PnL
- $59.88
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $196.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $201.29
No position
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $53.69
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $75.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$270.07
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$511.71
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $12.44
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$30.76
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $282.73
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $100.09
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$327.26
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $993.07
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $31.77
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $71.8
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $190.99
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $816.86
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$464.51
Y
Yes position
Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $105.71
- Potential payout
- $961
- Potential profit
- $855.29
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$139.43
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $122.01
- Potential payout
- $787.14
- Potential profit
- $665.13
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$353.21
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $774
- Potential payout
- $783.01
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $81.39
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $210.6
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $101.4
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $296.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.53
- Potential profit
- $255.53
- User PnL
- -$237.49
No position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.1
- Potential profit
- $179.1
- User PnL
- -$10.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.84
- Potential profit
- $176.84
- User PnL
- -$111.88
No position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $49.21
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$18.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $958.75
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.33
No position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.9
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.93
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.89
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838.69
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.74
No position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $662.21
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.64
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $474.03
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.85
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.31
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $350
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.16
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.49
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.47
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.14
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 312 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 89.4% 2,175.02 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 88.9% 2,737 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No 98% 392 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 18.83 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 12,624.81 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98% 4,636.85 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.6% 2,985.23 shares
- Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes 22% 769 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 84.5% 200.85 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 85.7% 411.45 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 83.8% 2,400 shares