Polymarket Trader

HorribleWork

0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $587.03K
Realized PnL: $302.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $535.77K
Potential payout: $536.57K
Potential profit: $804.86
User PnL: $7.88K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.5K
Potential profit: $207.5K
User PnL: -$4.52K

New York Mets position

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.68K
Potential profit: $197.68K
User PnL: -$197.68

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $107.29K
Potential profit: $102.51K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $375.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $13.89K
Potential payout: $104.8K
Potential profit: $90.92K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$1.14K

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $98.55K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $97.75K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $550.1

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $75K
User PnL: -$13.77K

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.34K
Potential profit: $67.34K
User PnL: -$3.85K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.06K
Potential profit: $64.06K
User PnL: -$21.65K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.11K
Potential profit: $61.11K
User PnL: -$34.37K

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.81K
Potential profit: $46.81K
User PnL: -$9.01K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $57
Potential payout: $38K
Potential profit: $37.94K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.87K
Potential profit: $37.87K
User PnL: -$1.59K

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.62K
Potential profit: $35.62K
User PnL: -$11.46K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.33K
User PnL: -$4.18K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $23.58K
Potential payout: $28.58K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.73K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $28.22K
Potential profit: $23.01K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $663.1

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.59K
Potential profit: $21.59K
User PnL: -$4.32K

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$10K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.85K
Potential profit: $15.85K
User PnL: -$2.88K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $15.34K
User PnL: -$9.82K

No position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$800.02

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $60
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$490

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.74K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.83K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6K

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44K

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15K

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79K

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.48K

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10K

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.98K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

No position

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

No position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.54K

No position

Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 562 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 44,238.47 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 2,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 25,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.1% 13,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 30,410 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 11,592.78 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99% 141,346.89 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 97.4% 47,563.6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 119.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 97.7% 713.02 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 19,590 shares