Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $665.71
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Polymarket Trader
0x7806f8B8509Af97CfC5B7B19D1Abc8341DB6AE3f-1768641613991
0x7806f8b8509af97cfc5b7b19d1abc8341db6ae3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.45K
- Realized PnL
- $10.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $363.89
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $183.8
- Potential payout
- $205.36
- Potential profit
- $21.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $120.14
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $157
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $96.31
- Potential profit
- $93.86
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $217.71
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $211.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.99
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.99
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.95
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 435 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 84% 499.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 62% 180 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 70% 170 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 42% 79.5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No 30% 79.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 93% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 79% 130.48 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 79% 260.95 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 0.9% 500 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 8% 550 shares