No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Polymarket Trader
SmithJuliang
0x7808d94b17dc139d6853be8809cbb747de2bff5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.27
- Realized PnL
- $71.54
- Win rate
- 89.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Ajdukovic position
Pune: Duje Ajdukovic vs San-Hui Shin
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over 61% 163.93 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 10.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 66% 6.06 shares
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs 66% 9.09 shares
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.9% 5,074.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.8% 5,074.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No 99.7% 5,065.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No 99.5% 759.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No 99.9% 5,029.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No 99.9% 5,029.03 shares