Polymarket Trader

Nardek

0x780c69f2ed690b34155fac62b1d5b0cc38d5b2db

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.89
Realized PnL: $9.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653.98
Potential profit: $653.98
User PnL: -$300.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.53
Potential profit: $484.53
User PnL: -$256.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.19
Potential profit: $398.19
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.81
Potential profit: $368.81
User PnL: -$150

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.26
Potential profit: $198.26
User PnL: -$70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.95
Potential profit: $173.95
User PnL: -$141

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.48
Potential profit: $135.48
User PnL: -$84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.45
Potential profit: $125.45
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.2
Potential profit: $106.2
User PnL: -$70

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $62.89
Potential payout: $94.58
Potential profit: $31.68
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $12.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.82
Potential profit: $81.82
User PnL: -$54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.89
Potential profit: $9.89
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.94

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.84

No position

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $295.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.27

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 79% 283.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 53% 188.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 52.7% 189.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 36.9% 203.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 50% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 50% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 20% 75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 35% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 51.6% 193.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Down 63.9% 98.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Down 51% 98.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 64.8% 100 shares