No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.84K
- Potential profit
- $35.84K
- User PnL
- -$399.99
Polymarket Trader
chill-K
0x780d86e8b97e8fe52a16acb29057b55117493bdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.83K
- Realized PnL
- -$948.35
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.83K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $167.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $432.5
Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.8
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.88
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.42
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No 93.8% 535.08 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 83% 500 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 93.7% 1,000 shares
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No 97% 98.88 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 49% 1,500 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 60% 1,500 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 60% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 60% 1,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 81% 400.41 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 75% 768.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.5% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.5% 100 shares