Polymarket Trader

AlyincePeng

0x7812f75f2e6bcebb36e8f9ff714613dc4e6e4bcd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $441.9
Realized PnL: $1.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$119

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $88.49
Potential payout: $333.93
Potential profit: $245.44
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $28.38

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$204

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$189

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $190.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $109.5
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$162

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $99.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $7.75

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $48.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $51.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.3
Potential profit: $8.3
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.79

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.65

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18% 278.34 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 63% 200 shares
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 49% 100 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Morocco 63% 100 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 14% 499.99 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 90% 750 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 63% 100 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 1,000 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 68% 199.99 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 63% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 99% 5 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 66% 300 shares