No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.57
- Potential profit
- $39.57
- User PnL
- -$29.28
Polymarket Trader
vlodos
0x781486c2859b2524de254f1d07dfdc1cf1da0916
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.78
- Realized PnL
- $33.44
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $4.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Trump say "War On Fraud" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 27% 4.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 75.75 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 74% 39.57 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No 99.1% 24.61 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?Yes 1.2% 27.99 shares
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 0.5% 39.78 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?Yes 0.5% 23.47 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?Yes 0.1% 9.09 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?No 11% 18.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 92.6% 6.73 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 93.5% 6.73 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 6.6% 75.76 shares