Polymarket Trader

Avarice31

0x781caf04d98a281712caf1677877c442789fdb68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $552.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.4K
Potential profit: $111.4K
User PnL: -$7.42K

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.08K
Potential profit: $69.08K
User PnL: -$950.15

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.19K
Potential profit: $65.19K
User PnL: -$1.63K

No position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.26K
Potential profit: $45.26K
User PnL: -$30.65K

Yes position

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.26K
Potential profit: $41.26K
User PnL: -$2.08K

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.88K
Potential profit: $35.88K
User PnL: -$4.76K

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.8K
Potential profit: $35.8K
User PnL: -$7.53K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.08K
Potential profit: $35.08K
User PnL: -$1.97K

Lakers position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.82K
Potential profit: $34.82K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.86K
Potential profit: $33.86K
User PnL: -$3.01K

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.86K
Potential profit: $32.86K
User PnL: -$550.42

Florida International position

Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.11K
Potential profit: $30.11K
User PnL: -$3.22K

Yes position

Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.5K
Potential profit: $29.5K
User PnL: -$152.4

No position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.6K
Potential profit: $28.6K
User PnL: -$2.25K

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.8K
Potential profit: $25.8K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.37K
Potential profit: $25.37K
User PnL: -$620.87

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.94K
Potential profit: $24.94K
User PnL: -$1.04K

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.83K
Potential profit: $24.83K
User PnL: -$2.32K

Yes position

Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.41K
Potential profit: $24.41K
User PnL: -$489.98

Knicks position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.54K
Potential profit: $23.54K
User PnL: -$7.36K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.93K
Potential profit: $22.93K
User PnL: -$583.38

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets position

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.11K
Potential profit: $22.11K
User PnL: -$1.84K

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.07K
Potential profit: $22.07K
User PnL: -$1.67K

Pistons position

Nets vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.93K
Potential profit: $21.93K
User PnL: -$12.68K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Phillies

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.06K

76ers position

Pacers vs. 76ers

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.88K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.62K

Jets position

Jets vs. Bengals

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.69K

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.52K

Georgia Tech position

Georgia Tech vs. Wake Forest

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.19K

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Bears

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44K

Lakers position

Heat vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26K

Falcons position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.98K

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.95K

No position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6K

Titans position

Titans vs. Cardinals

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.78K

Buccaneers position

Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.37K

Italy position

First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26K

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.4K

Panthers position

LAR vs. Panthers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39K

Spurs position

Pacers vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78K

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77K

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32K

BYU position

BYU vs. Arizona

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05K

Drew Dober position

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66K

SMU Mustangs position

Miami vs. SMU Mustangs

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.58K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5

Under 6% 77.74 shares
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5

Under 6% 77.74 shares
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-12?

No 94% 320 shares
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-12?

No 94% 20 shares
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Yes 94% 30 shares
Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)

Kings 51% 49.27 shares
Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)

Kings 53% 20.98 shares
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Yes 88% 20 shares
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Yes 87% 70 shares
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5

Under 6% 97.18 shares
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?

No 96.9% 60.06 shares
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?

Yes 83% 20 shares