No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $91.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Polymarket Trader
kingfisher004
@blockblack005
0x78209944bf55ebcf5b75fdde3c8eafc25e74fa12
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.12K
- Realized PnL
- $2.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $55.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $365.6
- Potential payout
- $366.88
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $204.5
- Potential profit
- $204.19
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$28.12
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $96.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $53.25
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$20.25
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $143.63
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $31.13
No position
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $95.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $57.85
- Potential payout
- $58.35
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $10.01
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.85
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $38.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.07
No position
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
No position
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 96% 1,230 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.9% 1,076.43 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 7.1% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 7.2% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 200 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 366.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No 95.2% 1,378.2 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 1% 689.24 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 1.9% 861.83 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 13.9% 204.5 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 1.4% 636.75 shares
- Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes 13% 104.66 shares