No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $509.46
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$52.7
Polymarket Trader
cool8me
0x782fa70eb4f0c421fcbb9ca14a48f0dc3b3ba5e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $484.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.15
- Potential profit
- $94.15
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $246.06
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.94
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $14.03
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.34
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $10.81
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
X Money released by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 74% 1,756.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 1,219.21 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 93% 107.14 shares
- Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 66.5% 73.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 84% 107.14 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 17.3% 84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 73% 821.92 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 93% 119.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 129.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 126.58 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 57% 91.74 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 66% 75.76 shares