No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $283.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $133.5
Polymarket Trader
dannyKKing
0x7833b54664687d4d1ab8942bc10cc89937af8d8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $325.3
- Realized PnL
- $376.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $283.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$133.5
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $13.49
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$6.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $6.63
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $270.6
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 5.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 98.6% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 6.63 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 82% 3.66 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 3.3 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98% 125 shares
- Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 81% 8 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 97.9% 6.13 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 7.8% 14.99 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 87.5% 15 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.4% 6.04 shares