Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $27.54
- Potential payout
- $141.59
- Potential profit
- $114.05
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $14.54
Polymarket Trader
0x7834...f823
0x7834f38cc8a8eab35ae6636efe28d52a5c99f823
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $300.94
- Realized PnL
- $488.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $63.05
- Potential payout
- $101.69
- Potential profit
- $38.64
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $65.79
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $65.67
- Potential payout
- $66.03
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $50.64
- Potential payout
- $50.72
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $8.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $2.57
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.17
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
Over position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.47
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
Notre Dame Fighting Irish position
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88
No position
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
Stars position
Stars vs. Oilers
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy position
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75
No position
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Pacers
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?Yes 42% 25.86 shares
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes 59% 101.69 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes 58% 34.48 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over 61% 65.57 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 62% 45.12 shares
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 63% 5 shares
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 63% 15.1 shares
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 64% 46.9 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 84% 50.72 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Yes 53% 66.03 shares
- Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 75% 106.66 shares
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Rex Regum Qeon 99% 2.53 shares