Txetg

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $26.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.81

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $293.9
Potential payout: $448.71
Potential profit: $154.8
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$22.1

No position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $300.01
User PnL: -$279.01

No position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $276.29
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $23.7
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $70.2

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $249.98
User PnL: -$142.49

Yes position

Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.71
Potential profit: $208.71
User PnL: -$45.74

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $119.61
Potential payout: $158.42
Potential profit: $38.81
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $21.39

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $80.62
Potential payout: $121.24
Potential profit: $40.62
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.67

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $80.55
Potential payout: $100.37
Potential profit: $19.82
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.25
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $89.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $98.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.95

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $94.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $12.45

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $96.14
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Donald Trump Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $95.87
Potential payout: $99.81
Potential profit: $3.94
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $59.68
Potential payout: $85.89
Potential profit: $26.21
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.77

No position

Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.18

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.89

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.33

Yes position

Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.39

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.2

No position

Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.98

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.57

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.11

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.55

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $211.26

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.39

No position

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.88

No position

Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.29

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.15

No position

Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.86

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.68

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.19

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.27

No position

Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?