Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $101.63
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$50.47
Polymarket Trader
0x7856...d6bd
0x7856f9a467bf61fac4f2275fe2a1102629b7d6bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.07K
- Realized PnL
- $226.85
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $718.44
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $489.02
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $561.47
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $52.21
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$58.87
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $197.33
- Potential payout
- $877.03
- Potential profit
- $679.7
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.16
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.17
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $25.27
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.24
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$22.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.69
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$37.41
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.68
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$80.77
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11% 1,382.73 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 18% 877.01 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 791.17 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 18% 663.26 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 1,013.29 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes 10% 1,110.8 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.6% 1,403.82 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 19.8% 663.26 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 10.5% 1,304.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 13.4% 1,304.94 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 18% 1,008.89 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 6.8% 1,403.82 shares