No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $217.24
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $12.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
b88f6
0x787bca05fc898b0e780858a55c40c70b80047601
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $403.47
- Realized PnL
- $72.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $30.59
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $17.96
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.97
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 230 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 94% 18 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.1% 15 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 94% 21 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 11 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 85% 20 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?No 98.2% 11 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.6% 13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.6% 17 shares
- StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No 96.9% 15 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 95% 17 shares