Polymarket Trader

fredparkin

0x788f8b6e1c0cd6df2a31643984de9f75df0d6eca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.08
Realized PnL: $907.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.74K
Potential profit: $8.74K
User PnL: -$1.72K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 24?

No 99.7% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?

No 98.9% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 24?

No 98.1% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 24?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 24?

No 98.3% 0.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 24?

No 99.3% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?

No 93% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?

No 99.4% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?

No 93% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 24?

No 98.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

No 88% 10 shares