Polymarket Trader

XVFlow

0x78ad03d27582cd1b5255d364ff8f093b6cf745cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $254.1K
Realized PnL: $340.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $280.19K
Potential profit: $234.94K
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$94.84K

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $118.74K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.05K
Potential payout: $69.29K
Potential profit: $59.24K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$10.24K

Tunisia position

Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.13K
Potential profit: $61.13K
User PnL: -$55.93K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $57.95K
Potential payout: $58.04K
Potential profit: $87.06
User PnL: $53.98

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.99K
Potential profit: $57.99K
User PnL: -$38.36K

No position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$36.5K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.74K
Potential profit: $47.74K
User PnL: -$19.66K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $47.49K
Potential payout: $47.51K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $33.21

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.43K
Potential profit: $37.43K
User PnL: -$36.69K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.63K
Potential payout: $36.65K
Potential profit: $18.32
User PnL: $36.94

No position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.19K
Potential profit: $34.19K
User PnL: -$27.21K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.84K
Potential profit: $27.84K
User PnL: -$27.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $25.52K
Potential payout: $25.57K
Potential profit: $51.14
User PnL: -$25.14

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.21K
Potential profit: $24.21K
User PnL: -$18.39K

Crystal Palace FC position

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.48K
Potential profit: $22.48K
User PnL: -$15.21K

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.68K
Potential profit: $17.68K
User PnL: -$7.07K

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$8K

No position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$7.68K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.93K
Potential payout: $15.95K
Potential profit: $15.95
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.87K
Potential profit: $14.87K
User PnL: -$6.1K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.02K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $7.01
User PnL: $7.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99K
Potential profit: $13.99K
User PnL: -$2.52K

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.4K
Potential profit: $11.4K
User PnL: -$8.09K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $87.2K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19K

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22K

No position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3K

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15K

No position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57K

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47K

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99K

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83K

No position

Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33K

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.36K

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3K

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8K

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5K

Yes position

Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43K

No position

Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08K

Kings position

Pacers vs. Kings

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86K

Under position

Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74K

Leeds United position

Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53K

49ers position

49ers vs. Colts

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38K

Yes position

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.22K

No position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17?

No 99.9% 15,950.76 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17?

No 99.9% 38,119.66 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17?

No 99.9% 53,855.04 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?

No 99.9% 47,513.29 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19?

Yes 99.8% 36,650 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 14,026.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 10,399.88 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18?

No 99.9% 1,999.99 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 25,570.36 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 3,002.1 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

No 73% 50,000 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

No 94% 315 shares