Polymarket Trader

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0x78bdf4143b4627a4190cf983258ea02eb4b9300d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.75K
Realized PnL: $5.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$503.31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $499.31
Potential payout: $501.06
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $236.81

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $380.55
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $49.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $131.15

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $309.83
Potential payout: $318.1
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $127.88

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $47.21
Potential payout: $127.6
Potential profit: $80.39
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $16.29
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$2.04

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $884.13

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.33

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.43

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.94

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.03

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.42

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.22

No position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.52

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $179.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.2

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.7

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.28

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.38

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.79

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.05

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $110.7

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

No position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.54

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.99

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 63% 70 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

FURIA 20.7% 150 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

No 0.2% 295 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 42% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 56% 4.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 55.7% 50 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 86% 105 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 15 2026?

No 84% 12 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 87% 382.71 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 81% 382.72 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 15 2026?

No 84% 248.03 shares