No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $21.25
Polymarket Trader
0x78d0...5925
0x78d06a841501c46b1d338f8cf7e33f22ec615925
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $89.99
- Realized PnL
- -$2.09
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $29.6
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $16.65
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.1%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.16
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96.1% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 16 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 56.2% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 43.9% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 71% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 13% 9 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.9% 15 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No 57% 13 shares
- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No 87% 18 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 30% 5 shares