TomFBrady

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.62
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Trump wear a red tie on July 4?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will "Oil" or "Gas" be in the headlines this week?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Drug" be in the headlines this week?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will "House" be in the headlines this week?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Fear" be in the headlines this week?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump post "Mutilization" on Truth Social this week?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.19

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.36

No position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.47

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.55

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.05

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 5PM ET