No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $22.31K
- Potential payout
- $23.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Polymarket Trader
zhiming1
0x78da7d0c4bd689b6d608abb7065f19ed6b8eb975
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.52K
- Realized PnL
- $116.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$5.6K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- $3.66K
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.02K
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $22.33
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $39.35
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$300.65
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $190.79
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$309.21
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96K
Yes position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $999.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.91
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.5
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.81
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.7
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.38
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 82% 5,000 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 58.2% 8,585.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 80% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 56% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 90% 2,995 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 63% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 50.6% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 67% 14,925.37 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 35% 285.71 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 4,500 shares
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under 61% 1,125.52 shares
- Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under 61% 200 shares